Rocket League Championship Series Week Four: Playoff Scenarios

Guest post by RixBT.

RLCS League Play enters its 4th week this weekend and with it, a thrilling end is only getting closer. Ahead of that, here’s a recap for every team scenarios for clinching a Top 6 or even a Top 2 spot this weekend.

(Note: Since there are billions of combinations for all 12 remaining matches per region, we’ll just consider those where actions from this weekend lead to a inevitable situation regarding of what happens on Week 5. Much credit to nallen01 for his website: https://us.nallen.me/rlcs/)



NA


Cloud9

Already clinched Top 6, unable to clinch Top 2 this week.


NRG

Clinches Top 2 if:

  • Goes 2-0, Ghost goes 0-2 for the day, and Rogue beats G2 and then loses to Renegades. Scenario

Clinches Top 6 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Wins 1 match and Renegades loses any match of the day.
  • Wins 1 match and Rogue goes 0-2 in their matches.
  • Both Ghost and NRG beat FlyQuest.

G2 Esports

Unable to clinch Top 2 this week, clinches Top 6 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Wins 1 match and Renegades loses both their matches.
  • Sweep Rogue 3-0 first and then one of the following:
    • Renegades beats Rogue 3-0 and G2 takes one game against NRG.
    • Renegades beats Rogue 3-1 and G2 takes two games against NRG
    • FlyQuest gets swept in both their matches and G2 takes two games against NRG. Scenario

Ghost Gaming

Unable to clinch Top 2 this week. Clinches Top 6 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Renegades goes 0-2.

Rogue

Unable to clinch Top 2 this week, clinches Top 6 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Renegades loses both their matches.
  • Beats Renegades in the following scenarios:
    • Sweep Renegades 3-0: clinch.
    • Beat Renegades 3-1: taking 2 games against G2 OR taking 1 game against G2 and Ghost taking 1 game against Renegades. Scenario
    • Beat Renegades 3-2: taking 2 games against G2 and Ghost taking 2 games against Renegades. Scenario

FlyQuest

Unable to clinch Top 2 this week. Clinches Top 6 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Wins 1 match and Renegades lose both their matches
  • Equal or better results than Renegades for the weekend

Renegades

Mathematically still able to get to Top 2 next week in a scenario like this one.

Unable to clinch Top 6 this week. Will be eliminated from Playoff contention if gets swept in both matches of this week.


Allegiance

Unable to get to Top 2 anymore. Will be eliminated of Playoff contention this week if:

  • All four of G2, Ghost, Rogue and FlyQuest win 1 match.
  • Renegades goes 2-0 for the day and any 3 of the previous mentioned teams wins 1 match.


EU


Method

Already clinched Top 6, clinches Top 2 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Wins 1 match and have all three of GFE, Mockit and exceL end up the day with 3 losses. Scenario

PSG eSports

Already clinched Top 6, clinches Top 2 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Wins 1 match and then have all three of GFE, Mockit and exceL end up the day with 3 losses. Scenario

exceL

Unable to clinch Top 2 this week. Could clinch Top 6 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Goes 1-1 for the day with any of the following combinations (doesn’t matter the rival):
    • Win by 3-0, lose by 1-3 at least.
    • Win by 3-1, lose by 2-3.
  • Have FlipSid3 going 0-2 for the day.

Mock-it eSports

Unable to clinch Top 2 this week. Could clinch Top 6 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Wins 1 match and have FlipSid3 Tactics going 0-2.
  • Have Gale Force eSports end up 0-2 for the day.

Gale Force eSports

Unable to clinch Top 2 this week. Could clinch Top 6 if:

  • Goes 2-0 for the day.
  • Have FlipSid3 going 0-2 for the day.
  • Beat F3 with any of the following scenarios:
    • Sweep F3 and then grab at least one game against Mock-it.
    • Beat them by 3-1, get a 3 game differential from FlipSid3 in the remaining matches (GFE 1-3 Mock-it and F3 3-2 exceL OR GFE 2-3 Mock-it and F3 3-1 exceL). Scenario

FlipSid3 Tactics

Mathematically still able to clinch Top 2 next week in a scenario like this one.

Could clinch Top 6 this week with two combinations:

  • Obligatory sweep GFE by 3-0 and then one of the following:
    • Sweep exceL and have GFE grabbing 1 game max. against Mock-it.
    • Beat exceL by 3-1 and GFE getting swept by Mock-it.

Team Envy

Can’t get to Top 2 anymore. Since there no scenario where they get eliminated this week, will get to the final week still with a chance for making it into Top 6.


Team Secret

Unable to get to Top 2 anymore.

Will get eliminated from Playoff contention if this week Flipsid3 wins 1 match, exceL grabs any 1 game, and Mockit grabs any 2 games.