Rivals Series Week Three: Mid-tier teams battle for top-four finishes

Last week, we saw the two frontrunners in their respective regions start to separate from the pack, as Fibeon improved to 3-0 in North America and The Leftovers improved to 3-0 in Europe. This week, we’ll have some more action packed Rocket League action, as other teams in the Rivals Series make their case to finish in the top half of the standings.

Here’s a quick breakdown of each match, and what to expect from the teams this weekend.

Europe

ExRay (1-0) vs. Supersonic Avengers (0-1)

How they did last week: ExRay bested the Golden Hawks in a close five game series, while the Supersonic Avengers did not play.

What Elo predicts: ExRay’s 1470.0 rating is bested by Supersonic Avengers’ 1505.1 rating, so the Supersonic Avengers have a 59.3 percent chance of winning the series.

Player to watch: EyeIgnite was a huge offensive threat in every game ExRay played last week, averaging 5.2 shots per game and 1.4 goals per game. If ExRay wants to take down the Supersonic Avengers, EyeIgnite will need to bring the offensive firepower yet again.

Most Wanted Esports (0-1) vs. Golden Hawks (0-2)

How they did last week: The Golden Hawks fell to ExRay in a close five game series, while Most Wanted Esports did not play last week.

What Elo predicts: The Golden Hawks are the slightest of Elo favorites, with a 1498.8 rating besting Most Wanted’s 1489.9 rating. This gives them a 52.4 percent chance of winning the series.

Player to watch: Dadooh is the only player in this series with prior RLCS experience, and he’ll be looking to improve on his week one performance, where he failed to score a goal as his team was swept by The Juicy Kids. Look for Dadooh to play a key role in this week’s matchup.

ExRay (0-1) vs. Team Endpoint (0-1)

How they did last week: ExRay squeaked out a 3-2 win over the Golden Hawks, while Team Endpoint fell to Inspiration in four games.

What Elo predicts: Team Endpoint have a minuscule Elo advantage in this matchup, with a 1477.9 rating placing them just above ExRay’s 1470.0 rating. Elo gives Team Endpoint a 52.2 percent chance of winning the series.

Player to watch: We mentioned Shakahron as the player to watch for Endpoint last week, and he didn’t dissapoint, leading his team in goals and score as they fell to Inspiration. Look for Shakahron to play an important role in this series, too – his play will most likely end up being the difference.

Inspiration (1-2) vs. Supersonic Avengers (0-1)

How they did last week: Inspiration was swept by The Juicy Kids, but bounced back and picked up a 3-1 victory over Team Endpoint. The Supersonic Avengers did not play last week.

What Elo predicts: Inspiration are the Elo favorites in this series, with their 1506.3 rating just barely beating the 1505.1 rating of the Supersonic Avengers. That 1.2 point difference in rating is minuscule, and this series really could go either way – Elo only gives Inspiration a 50.3 percent chance of winning the five game series.

Player to watch: Sebadam is the highest profile player on Inspiration (and the player with the highest Elo), but he struggled last week, scoring just two goals and never topping the 200 point mark in terms of player score. He’ll be the difference maker in this series; if he struggles, so will Inspiration, but if he plays well, they’ll most likely be the victors.

North America

Ambition Esports (0-0) vs. Out of Style (0-1)

How they did last week: Ambition Esports lost to an ineligible Naventic squad last week, so their official record is still 0-0. Out of Style did not play last week.

What Elo predicts: Out of Style are the Elo favorites in this matchup, with their 1472.8 rating besting Ambition’s 1415.4 rating, and giving them a 65.2 percent chance of winning the series.

Player to watch: JSTN was Out of Style’s best player in week one, averaging 332.50 score per game, as compared to EPICJonny’s 242.50 score per game and Lachinio’s 227.50 score per game. That being said, a lot of his offense seemed to come at the cost of his teammates chances, with both EPICJonny and Lachinio averaging over two saves per game, while JSTN averaged just 1.25. Getting Lachinio more involved in the offense will be the key for Out of Style, and it starts with proper rotational play from JSTN – as talented as he is, Out of Style’s week one loss to Fibeon showed that he can’t do it all on his own.

Ambition Esports (0-0) vs. Radiance (1-0)

How they did last week: Ambition Esports lost to an ineligible Naventic squad last week, so their official record is still 0-0. Radiance (formerly Set To Destroy X) beat Kinematics, 3-1, to start their season off 1-0.

What Elo predicts: Elo is really not a fan of Ambition, giving them just a 1415.4 rating. Radiance, on the other hand, carries an impressive 1573.0 rating. Radiance are huge favorites, with a 85.4 percent chance of winning the series.

Player to watch: Is it cheating to list everyone on Radiance as the player to watch? The whole team was superb in their match last week, as every player on the roster averaged over 345.00 score per game. Look for Radiance to put on a show against their opponents this week.

Out of Style (0-1) vs. Kinematics (0-2)

How they did last week: Kinematics were reverse-swept by Premature Superhero Cops, and fell to Radiance (formerly Set To Destroy X), 1-3, while Out of Style did not play.

What Elo predicts: Out of Style clocks in with a 1472.8 rating, while Kinematics comes in at 1448.9. Elo gives Out of Style a 56.4 percent chance of winning the series.

Player to watch: Every player on Kinematics could be listed as a player to watch. This team had high expectations coming into the Rivals Series, and though they’ve played tough opponents, an 0-3 start puts them in a tough spot going forward, as they’ll essentially have to win the rest of their games in order to finish in the top half of the league. Every player on the team will need to be better if they want to take down Out of Style.